Fueled by unsustainable high dairy product prices, herd continues to grow

Monday’s USDA milk production reports for August showed an abundance of milk and dairy cows for the market to absorb. Not only were the previous month’s figures revised higher, but the August total showed continued growth in the herd, with over 11,000 heifers more [...]

USDA makes big dairy adjustment, erasing 25% of estimated herd deficit

Although USDA typically tweaks the previous month’s dairy herd statistics, the most recent milk production figures released in July saw a much bigger adjustment. Changes were made going back many months, almost to the start of the calendar year, most months’ numbers. So, rather [...]

USDA Milk Production report holds few surprises

The June milk production report showed a slowdown in herd expansion has occurred during Q2 2022. Since the end of Q1, the national herd has only risen by a paltry 3,000 head, lifting the national herd to just over 9.4 million heifers. The national [...]

Herd number reported unchanged—sort of—in May milk report

Somewhat surprisingly, the USDA May milk production report showed the herd was little changed from the prior month. In fact, while USDA adjusted the March milk cows figure slightly higher, it reported absolutely no change to the national herd or the dairy herd in [...]

USDA March milk production report finally shows increase in herd

After eight months of contraction, the national herd finally showed signs of life and an increase of 3,000 head at the end of February. Hopefully this marks the end of the period of culling as farmers are gearing up for spring flush and improvements [...]

Dairy herd & milk yield fall below year-ago levels

This week’s USDA milk production report provided more bullish fuel as the national herd fell by a further -14,000 head to 9.4 million cows across the country, and milk yield, the volume of milk per cow per day, also fell below Oct 2020 levels. [...]

Dairy prices advance as U.S. herd recedes

Key industry reports released this past week provided additional fuel to bulls in dairy, bolstering prices. Domestically, the milk production report surprised many with a significant reduction to last month’s August estimate of herd and a further decrease for the current month. In total, [...]

Culling limits milk supply growth

Four months into this contraction phase for output, the U.S. dairy herd has fallen by nearly 30,000 head, with the bulk of the reductions seen for the largest 24 producing states. The falling herd left August milk output up a somewhat disappointing 1.1 percent [...]

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