Cocoa origins will push to protect LID & historic premiums

A few seasons into the implementation of a Living Income Differential (LID), Ghana and Ivory Coast have seen mixed results for premiums collected on bean sales. Despite some success for the LID in raising farmer income and improving livelihoods, country officials have at times [...]

ICCO now projects 2021/22 cocoa deficit of 174,000 MT

The latest estimate from International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) showed a 174,000 MT deficit in the 2021/22 season, little changed from their previous forecast of a 181,000 MT shortfall, partly the result of a weaker grind forecast, which may be reflected in Q2 grind numbers [...]

Diverging cocoa arrival data confuses buyers

Four months into the West African main crop, cumulative tallies from both Ivory Coast and Ghana are telling two very different stories. Cocobod announced this past week that Ghana cocoa arrivals trailed last year by 44 percent, down nearly 300,000 MT year on year. [...]

Cocoa prices sink to five-month low despite lagging arrivals

The two main headlines for cocoa market this week appear to be pushing in contradictory directions. Cumulative arrivals in Ivory Coast continue to underperform last year’s pace, reaching some 670,000 MT through the end of November. This is down around 10 percent from last [...]

Outlook for West Africa main crops; farmgate prices announced

Cocoa regulators in both Ghana and Ivory Coast have been warning for months of smaller 2021/22 crops as trees “rest” from bumper crops of the last two seasons—a phenomenon known as tree fatigue. A dry spring and harmattan season most likely pressured pod set [...]

First-quarter cocoa grinds showing signs of green shoots

The past year has been tough on everyone, and the confectionery industry has been no exception. Global cocoa grind, a measurement of confectionery demand, contracted nearly 3 percent in 2020, with many traditional routes to market such as impulse purchases and food service disrupted [...]

Midcrop discount undercuts LID premium across Ivory Coast

Regulators in Ivory Coast finally acted in response to lax sales of midcrop beans and building inventories in country. Midcrop beans tend to be smaller in size, have a higher shell-to-nib ratio, and are lower yielding. Given the decline in combined ratio and narrowing [...]

Updates on cocoa arrivals & weather for Ivory Coast

We estimate October-November Ivorian arrivals near 755,000 MT, up nearly 8% YOY. Ghana purchases may be below 300,000 MT, down about 9% YOY. As a result, total output for the period from the two countries may be near 1.05 MMT, up around 2% YOY. [...]

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