Soy complex futures closed on Friday nearly flat with the week’s start. Last Thursday’s WASDE report reflected a smaller-than-expected downward revision in U.S. soybean stocks, leaving the market little to get excited about. Global soybean stocks were lowered by about 1 MMT.
The only change to U.S. soybean projections was crush demand, up 15 million bushels to 2.18 billion. NOPA crush was a record 185.2 million bushels in October, up by nearly 10 percent from 2019. In the global trade, Argentina is effectively out the market due to a lack of farmer selling of soybeans. This is supporting demand for U.S. meal, and U.S. exports were revised higher in Thursday’s report by 500,000 ST to 14 million ST, rivaling last year’s sharp jump in export demand. Global soybean consumption is projected to increase by over 10 MMT in 2020/21 to 251 MMT and stocks to fall by 1.5 MMT.