Quiet December WASDE

USDA’s December supply and demand update delivered no changes to the balance sheet for U.S. 2022/23 wheat and soybeans and a modest adjustment to corn exports. Wheat ending stocks for this marketing year are still projected at 571 million bushels, and soybean stocks are [...]

Cost of Thanksgiving meal rises again in 2022

The cost of ingredients for a ten-person Thanksgiving meal hit a new record this year, as estimated through the American Farm Bureau Federation’s survey. The 2021 cost was a record $53.31 ($5.33 per person), and the estimated 2022 cost surpassed at $64.05 ($6.41 per [...]

FAO Food Price Index down for seventh straight month

Adjusted for inflation, FAO’s October Food Price Index (FPI) fell by 0.1 percent from August, the sixth straight monthly decline. Year on year, the index is up about 0.3 percent—a minor difference compared to the double-digit YOY growth seen from early 2021 through July [...]

USDA shows caution in November U.S. grain adjustments

Today’s WASDE report delivered a few modest changes to the U.S. balance sheets for wheat, corn, and soybeans, leaving ending stocks a bit higher from the October estimate for corn and soybeans and slightly lower for wheat. USDA tweaked 2022/23 wheat use for food [...]

Food prices up 11% YOY in September

September’s U.S. Food Price Index rose 0.7 percent from August, with the highest growth again seen for prices of food from home, up 0.9 percent that month. Fats and oils, fresh vegetables, and sugar and sweets saw the fastest gains month on month. For [...]

World Food Price Index down for sixth straight month

Adjusted for inflation, FAO’s Food Price Index (FPI) fell 1 percent in September, the sixth straight down month. Year on year, the September FPI was up nearly 4 percent—significant, but a vast change from growth in 2021. The 2021 FPI was up 26 percent [...]

Trapped in a commodity market funhouse?

Maybe the funhouse seemed like a harmless way to spend a warm afternoon at the corn carnival (we all call the corn market that, right?): You knew your market’s fundamentals, so how about a little thrill-seeking among gently distorted market factors? You knew logistics were [...]

Quarterly grain stocks report surprises market

The September Grain Stocks report showed 2021/22 ending stocks for corn at 1.377 billion bushels, down 148 million bushels from the estimate in the September WASDE. The corn futures market responded vigorously, rising to a high of $6.9625 per bushel. USDA lowered 2021/22 corn [...]

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