WASDE: Higher corn & soybean ending stocks

In the January WASDE, USDA increased its 2021/22 U.S. corn production estimated to 15.115 billion bushels, up 53 million bushels from the December estimate. USDA raised 2021/22 corn ending stocks to 1.540 billion bushels, up 47 million bushels from the previous forecast. Corn exports [...]

India sugar production up 6% YOY, 2021/22 ethanol blend rate of 10%

Through mid-December, ISMA reports all India cumulative sugar production near 7.79 MMT, up 6 percent YOY and up nearly 25 percent from the five-year average. About a quarter of India’s crop is typically harvested in the first three months of the crop year, mostly [...]

Ethanol blending at six-month low

In the week ending Nov. 5, ethanol blending and refining use was at 893,000 barrels per day (bpd), the lowest weekly volume since mid-May and about 1 percent below the five-year average. Lower use helped ethanol stocks rise to a two-month high of roughly [...]

WASDE: Yields higher for corn, lower for soybeans

In the November WASDE, estimated 2021/22 U.S. corn yield was raised 0.5 bushels per acre (bpa) to 177.0 bpa, which would be the highest yield on record. With this improved yield, estimated new-crop production rose to 15.062 billion bushels, up 43 million bushels from [...]

Corn futures fall under liquidation pressure

Futures activity Positioning ahead of tomorrow’s WASDE report led to volatility in the corn market last week. Dec-21 futures settled at $5.53 per bushel last week, down $0.26 per bushel from Monday. Dec-22 futures closed at $5.405 per bushel. S&D and fundamental factors Ahead [...]

September ethanol input steady YOY

For the month of September, corn used for fuel alcohol totaled just over 407.51 million bushels, down about 2 percent from August but up just over 1 percent from September 2020. Corn consumed for beverage alcohol totaled some 3.41 million bushels, down 2 percent [...]

Will Thailand’s sugar production recover?

Historically a major sugar supplier, Thailand saw its exports climb above 10 MMT in 2018 and 2019 thanks to back-to-back crops above 14 MMT. Drought lowered its 2019/20 crop to a ten-year low of under 8.3 MMT, however, halving its exports that season. With [...]

Corn futures dipped 6% last week

Futures activity Along with nearly all other commodity markets, corn futures experienced a sharp sell-off last week as pandemic concerns stoked fear and prompted contract liquidations. Dec-21 futures ended the week down $0.3175 per bushel from last Monday’s settle to close at $5.37 per [...]

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