With tight U.S. soybean market, eyes turn to South America

The soy complex saw values rally to new highs last week, bolstered by positive news regarding a plausible COVID-19 vaccine and soybean/soybean meal supply reductions for 2020/21. A downward technical correction lasted for a couple days after WASDE, but Jan-21 soybean futures closed the [...]

WASDE: U.S. corn ending stocks plummet

USDA lowered 2020/21 U.S. corn ending stocks by 465 million bushels in the November WASDE on lower new-crop production and higher exports. Corn yield was lowered to 175.8 bushels per acre (bpa), down 2.6 bpa from the October estimate and notably below the average [...]

Corn market awaits WASDE

Some fundamental information came out last week to drive corn futures prices, but the dominant market factor was the risk-off/risk-on trades of the speculative community. This allowed corn to drop to short-term support around $4 for the Mar-21 contract before retracing to near $4.20 [...]

Underwhelming Ukrainian corn harvest may impact exports

As of Oct. 22, Ukraine’s 2020/21 corn acreage was 52 percent harvested, yielding some 4.7 MT per hectare (107.7 bushels per acre), the lowest yield in eight seasons. That equates to around 13.1 MMT of corn collected so far, prompting Ukraine’s grain trader union, [...]

Corn supply reductions partially offset by lower demand

Friday’s WASDE report noted some expected changes to the domestic corn balance sheet, including supply reductions that were partially offset by adjustments to demand projections. Planted and harvested acreage for 2020/21 were both reduced by 1 million acres, with the latter now pegged at [...]

WASDE: Corn & soybean harvested area notably lower

In the October WASDE, 2020/21 corn harvested area was pegged at 82.5 million acres, down 1 million acres from the September WASDE estimate. This change and slightly lower yield dropped 2020/21 corn production to 14.722 billion bushels, which is 101 million bushels below the [...]

Industry expects smaller corn, soybean crops in WASDE

The average industry estimate for corn and soybean production is 14.823 billion bushels and 4.288 billion bushels, respectively. At these levels, the corn crop would still be the second largest on record, while soybean production would be the fourth largest on record. The trade [...]

WASDE lowers corn yield with limited impact on STU

Despite the estimated impact of the derecho event last month, the 2020/21 U.S. corn crop still looks to be one of the largest on record. With a minor boost to beginning stocks, total supply is projected to increase 8 percent over last year and [...]

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