World production in 2019/20 could fall over 9 MMT due to declines in Europe, the Americas, and especially Asia-Pacific origins. The latter losses, in turn, are largely the result of anticipated declines from India and Thailand.
India’s weather ahead of the 2019/20 crop was bad at every turn: drought in the pre-monsoon season, delayed monsoon rains, and flooding later in the monsoon season.
Production is down in several key states, and total output in the first two months was 1.9 MMT, down by 54% from production of 4.1 MMT a year ago. Cane availability will be limited by poor weather, lower yields, hectarage losses, and higher cane diversion.