A closer look at sugar deliveries, demand growth USDA forecasts for demand growth

USDA estimates sugar deliveries for food use shrank by half a percent in 2017/18 and as of last WASDE forecasts a 0.6 percent increase for that volume in 2018/19 at 12.125 million STRV. This volume is unchanged from forecasts in the previous months, though [...]

Four-week average daily ethanol production down 4 percent YOY

Average ethanol production last week was 1.03 million barrels per day, up 3 percent from the previous week but another week of year-over-year decline. Most-recent four-week average daily production was just over 1.0 million bpd. Earlier this month, USDA trimmed projected 2018/19 corn use [...]

U.S. AJC imports rebounded in November

With import/export volumes being reported again, we now know that the U.S. imported over 5.5 million gallons of 70˚ Brix apple juice concentrate in November, up more than 15 percent from the small volumes imported in September and October but still below levels seen [...]

Higher sugar stocks: Lower use, not lower demand for U.S. sugar?

USDA now estimates beginning sugar stocks for the 2018/19 marketing year at 2.008 million short tons raw value (STRV). The bump in estimated stocks comes from a reduction in miscellaneous use in USDA’s February WASDE report, which is explained as an adjustment to data [...]

Florida orange production still at 77 million boxes

USDA held Florida orange production at 77.0 million 90-lb boxes in today’s production report: 32.0 million boxes of early-midseason oranges and 45.0 million boxes of Valencias. A couple forecast components shifted a bit but not enough to change box count. The drop rate for [...]

Will USDA lower corn use for ethanol?

USDA will publish its corn S&D update on Friday—the first official look at crop production and use since Dec. 11. Exports and utilization for ethanol may be due for adjustment. During the government shutdown, USDA continued to report on grains inspected for export. For [...]

Brazil’s corn exports held steady in December

Brazil exported 4.0 million metric tons (MMT) of corn in December, up just slightly from November and from December 2017. Sep-Dec exports totaled 14.6 MMT, down 21 percent from Sep-Dec 2017. In December, USDA projected Brazil would export 29.0 MMT of corn during 2018/19, [...]